With new annual data of 16 developed countries across bond, equity, and housing markets, I study the return predictability using the payout-price ratios, i.e., coupon price, dividend price, and rent price. None of the 48 country-asset combinations shows consistent in-sample and out-of-sample...

I construct a 300-year monthly testing sample for the UK market and study the return predictability in both the UK and the US. I conduct out-of-sample tests with 312 prediction setups based on 23 popular predictors, 3 model updating windows, and 3 common forecast combinations. Over the long run,...