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assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin-lin and linex … outcomes with those for statistical model-based forecasts of the same sales data. We find substantial evidence for asymmetry in …
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estimate a novel risk-neutral quantile-based asymmetry measure (RNA) from S&P 500 index options. In contrast to existing risk … one to twelve weeks. Our findings suggest that ex-ante systematic asymmetry does matter when predicting excess market …
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