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and disadvantages of the various output gap measures. First, I examine the usefulness of the output gap for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295641
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991364
India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a … target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this context, the paper draws on Indian macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960575
(SSSM) as a supporting tool for the monetary policy decision process. The SSSM's CPI inflation projections accuracy for 1 to … benchmark for short run forecasts. A 'near VAR' model, with quarterly CPI inflation and output gap as the endogenous variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014111946
There is a large literature evaluating the forecasts of the Federal Reserve by testing their rationality and measuring the size of their forecast errors. There is also a substantial literature and debate on the impact of the Fed's monetary policy on the economy. We know little, however about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986181
(2012) estimated on euro area data. It investigates to what extent forecasts of inflation, GDP growth and unemployment by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078530
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806
indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604913
theoretical predictions and simulations are corroborated when forecasting aggregate US inflation pre- and post 1984 using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605201
five years, where the euro area has, following a period of low inflation, navigated a global pandemic, Russia's invasion of … Ukraine and an unprecedented surge in inflation. The survey has evolved over time and provides not only a long time series of …. We show that, for each of the three main macroeconomic variables forecast - HICP inflation, real GDP growth and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015156735