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To extend and monitor loans, banks collect detailed and proprietary information about the financial prospects of their customers, many of whom are local businesses and households. Therefore, banks’ loan portfolios contain potentially useful information about local economic conditions. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349134
We analyse the impact of soft information on US mortgages for default prediction and provide a new measure for lender soft information that is based on the interest rates offered to borrowers and incremental to public hard information. Hard and soft information provide for a variation in annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236050
Banks have been experimenting with several credit forecasting techniques over time, each one having its own merits and demerits. All along, credit forecasting was internal to banks and regulators in the past were not too keen on reviewing forecasts. But the huge credit losses incurred by banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961759
We provide evidence on the effect of the slope of the yield curve on economic activity through bank lending. Using … rates) boosts bank profits and the supply of bank loans. Intuitively, a higher term premium represents greater expected … profits on maturity transformation, which is at the core of banks' business model, and therefore incentivizes bank lending …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014368571
We show that the slope of the yield curve affects bank lending and economic activity through an "expected bank …-increases bank profits and loan supply. Intuitively, a higher term premium raises the expected returns from maturity transformation …-a core banking activity- thereby incentivizing bank lending. This effect is more pronounced for banks with higher leverage …
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Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are having a transformative impact on the financial industry, with significant implications for credit risk management. Accurate predictions in credit risk help mitigate potential financial losses due to defaults. This not only strengthens...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352747
countries. The European Central Bank (ECB), jointly with the Banking Supervision Committee (BSC), has an interest in monitoring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606251