This paper evaluates whether the primary and secondary dissemination of earnings forecast revisions by security analysts is reflected in security prices. Security prices were used to determine the profitability (before the cost of search) of trading strategies based on the nonpublic knowledge of...

This paper provides an adaptive model depicting the interaction between the disclosure of interim earnings and the accuracy of earnings forecasts that are made public by security analysts. Our results indicate that accuracy of annual earnings forecasts is highly correlated with the announcement...

In this paper, we report the design and results of an experiment in human judgment in which decision makers were allowed to choose the information cues they used in making their judgments. The results of this study show that the subjects' choice of information, rather than their processing of...