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Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) can explain the variance premium puzzle. We solve a simple equilibrium model with CPT investors and find that probability weighting plays a key role in generating a substantial variance premium, while loss aversion captures the equity premium. Using GMM on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904448
We develop a tractable equilibrium asset pricing model with Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) preferences. Using GMM on a sample of U.S. equity index option returns, we show that by introducing a single common probability weighting parameter for both tails of the return distribution, the CPT...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938052
We evaluate whether machine learning methods can better model excess portfolio returns compared to the standard regression-based strategies generally used in the finance and econometric literature. We examine 17 benchmark factor model specifications based on Expected Utility Theory and theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015066381
Returns to both traditional and risk-managed momentum strategies are non-normal, reducing the efficacy of the Sharpe ratio as an evaluation tool. To account for the higher moments of the return distribution, we evaluate momentum using the framework of myopic loss aversion. Under this framework,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904061
This paper considers a general-equilibrium model with loss-aversion in consumption and heterogeneity: there is a continuum of agents, with s-shaped utility, who differ in the time-varying reference level of consumption. Heterogeneity in the reference level is crucial for the existence of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104770
This paper studies the wealth and pricing implications of loss aversion in the presence of arbitrageurs with Epstein-Zin preferences. Loss aversion affects an investor's survival prospects mainly through its effect on the investor's portfolio holdings. Loss-averse investors will be driven out of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008691
In 1995, Benartzi and Thaler introduced the concept myopic loss aversion to explain the equity premium puzzle. They provided empirical evidence to support their arguments. Recently, Durand, et al. criticized this empirical analysis. They propose an approach which not only rejects the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134250
Suppose populations of economic agents that are parameterized by skewness preference. For stated agents, increasing marginal utility for wealth necessarily is facilitated by a risk premium function that only robustly is parameterized with reference to `relative safety', as opposed to `relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297649
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