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Sovereign contagion in Europe : evidence from the CDS market

Manasse, Paolo; Zavalloni, Luca - 2013

This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038

Europe needs more than a Capital Markets Union : focus on the integration of euro area sovereign debt markets

Breitenfellner, Andreas; Schuberth, Helene - In: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 86 (2017) 2, pp. 9-20

With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051172

How important was contagion through banks during the European sovereign crisis?

Gonçalves, Andrei S. - 2017

positive shocks, which creates moral hazard and is best explained by a “too-systemic-to-fail” effect. The contagion effects are … economically significant contagion channel for tail spread increases …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963385

Sovereign haircuts : 200 years of creditor losses

Luckner, Clemens von <Graf>; Meyer, Josefin; Reinhart, … - 2024

We study sovereign external debt crises over the past 200 years, with a focus on creditor losses, or "haircuts". Our sample covers 327 sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors over 205 default spells since 1815. Creditor losses vary widely (from none to 100%), but the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557831

Is the ‘Euro Bond’ the Answer to the Euro Sovereign Debt Crisis? What Outcome Can Investors Expect Out of Europe?

Matziorinis, Kenneth N. - 2012

This paper analyzes the causes of the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone and examines the policy alternatives …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111171

Measuring connectedness of Euro area sovereign risk

Buse, Rebekka; Schienle, Melanie - 2015

We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503874

Systemic risk and sovereign debt in the Euro area

Radev, Deyan - 2013

We introduce a new measure of systemic risk, the change in the conditional joint probability of default, which assesses the effects of the interdependence in the financial system on the general default risk of sovereign debtors. We apply our measure to examine the fragility of the European...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226548

Disentangling Contagion Among Sovereign CDS Spreads During the European Debt Crisis

Broto, Carmen - 2013

of the model to characterize contagion among the ten series. Our procedure allows the country that triggers contagion in … sovereign debt crisis, contagion has played a non-negligible role in the European peripheral countries, which confirms the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074345

The zero risk fallacy? : banks' sovereign exposure and sovereign risk spillovers

Kirschenmann, Karolin; Korte, Josef; Steffen, Sascha - 2017

European banks are exposed to a substantial amount of risky sovereign debt. The "missing bank capital" resulting from the zero-risk weight exemption for European banks for European sovereign debt amplifies the co-movement between sovereign CDS spreads and facilitates cross-border...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764975

Gambling traps

Ari, Anil - 2018

I propose a dynamic general equilibrium model in which strategic interactions between banks and depositors may lead to endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959253