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This paper estimates the degree of persistence of 16 long-horizon real exchange rates relative to the US dollar. We use nonparametric operational algorithms by El-Gamal and Ryu (2006) for general nonlinear models based on two statistical notions: the short memory in mean (SMM) and the short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094585
It is well-known that there is a large degree of uncertainty around Rogoff's (1996) consensus half-life of the real exchange rate. To obtain a more efficient estimator, we develop a system method that combines the Taylor rule and a standard exchange rate model to estimate half-lives. Further, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186043
Cheung et al. (2004) use a vector error correction model that allows different speeds of convergence for nominal exchange rates and relative prices toward PPP. With the current float monthly data for five countries, they argue that the sluggish PPP reversion is primarily driven by nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862323
Researchers have encountered difficulties in finding empirical evidence of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) especially when conventional linear unit root tests are employed for the Japanese yen real exchange rate. Chortareas and Kapetanios (2004), however, report strong evidence in favor of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862345
This paper estimates the degree of persistence of 16 long-horizon real exchange rates relative to the US dollar. We use nonparametric operational algorithms by El-Gamal and Ryu (2006) for general nonlinear models based on two statistical notions: the short memory in mean (SMM) and the short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862348
This paper revisits the empirical evidence of purchasing power parity under the current float by recursive mean adjustment (RMA) proposed by So and Shin (1999). We first report superior power of the RMA-based unit root test in finite samples relative to the conventional augmented Dickey-Fuller...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862354
In the Kehoe and Midrigan (2007) model, the persistence parameter of the real exchange rate is closely related to the measure of price stickiness in the Calvo-pricing model. When we employ this view, Rogoff's (1996) 3 to 5 year consensus half-life implies that firms update their prices every 18...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862358