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In recent years, advances in the field of unit root tests helped topartially solve the first purchasing power parity puzzle. Non-linearmean-reversion tests with real exchange rates were able to reject thenull of a unit root (indicating mean reversion) in significantly morecases than the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912958
This study analyzes the dynamics between real effective exchange rates and current account patterns from a novel perspective. We start by dissecting long-run and time-varying short-run dynamics between both variables. Following this, we extend our framework by including interest rates into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483886
Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called "Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle" arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502367
This article shows that global financial markets cannot, by themselves, achieve net transfers of financial capital and real interest rate equalisation across countries and that the integration of both global financial markets and global goods markets is needed to achieve net transfers of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993960
In response to questions about the relative importance of different types of capital flow for international competitiveness, we develop a structural vector auto-regressive model of the real exchange rate and international capital flows. We reveal that innovations to speculative sentiment cause...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533969
This article shows that global financial markets cannot, by themselves, achieve net transfers of financial capital and real interest rate equalisation across countries and that the integration of both global financial markets and global goods markets is needed to achieve net transfers of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011454078
We provide a novel daily decomposition of the real exchange rate that exploits a direct link between bond and foreign exchange (FX) markets. Real exchange rate dynamics can be attributed to changes in the expected future level of the exchange rate; cross-country differentials of expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175434
Utilizing formal nonlinear unit root test (Sarno, The behavior of US public debt: a nonlinear perspective. Economics Letters 2001: 119 – 125), this study provides robust evidence of nonlinear mean reversion in the real exchange rates of 4 major ASEAN countries. We conclude that the bulk of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119239
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001699745
The paper investigates if the most popular alternative to the purchasing parity power approach (PPP) to estimate equilibrium exchange rates, the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) influences exchange rate dynamics in the long run. For a large panel of industrialized and emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177276