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Does the ability to ‘read the market’ affect equilibrium formation in asset markets? To answer this question, we conducted pre-registered learning to forecast experiments with market groups composed of either subjects with high or low Theory of Mind (ToM) capabilities, elicited via the eye...
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Recent studies suggest that the type of strategic environment or expectation feedback may have a large impact on whether the market learns the rational fundamental price. We present an experiment where the fundamental price experiences large unexpected shocks. Markets with negative expectation...
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This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
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