This paper estimates how effects of shocks to local labor demand on local labor market outcomes vary with initial local economic conditions. The data are on U.S. metro areas from 1979 to 2011. The paper finds that demand shocks to local job growth have greater effects in reducing local...

This paper examines how the effects of increased employment growth on a metropolitan area’s employment to population ratio varies with the initial tightness of the metropolitan area’s labor market. This examination is relevant to evaluating the benefits of local economic development policies...

In this paper, estimates are presented on short-run effects of demand shocks on a local labor market's employment to population ratio (employment rate). Based on the estimates, commuting zones (CZs) better define a local labor market than counties, because both employment and employment rate...

This paper estimates that long-run changes in a county's prime-age employment rate are significantly affected by labor demand shocks to both the county and its overlying commuting zone (CZ). The overall benefits of labor demand shocks are due more to CZ demand shocks than county demand shocks. A...

This paper provides estimates that lead to better U.S. labor market definitions. Current U.S. labor market definitions-for example, metropolitan areas and commuting zones-are unsatisfactory because they are ad hoc and usually do not correspond to commonly used local planning areas. This paper...