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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012615296
This article introduces an estimation method for the conditional joint distribution of bivariate outcomes, based on the distribution regression approach and the factorization method. The proposed method can apply for discrete, continuous or mixed distribution outcomes. It is semiparametric in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294326
Insurance claims data usually contains a large number of zeros and exhibits fat-tail behavior. Misestimation of one end of the tail impacts the other end of the tail of the claims distribution; such can affect both the adequacy of premiums and needed reserves to hold. In addition, insured...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947808
Insurers issuing segregated fund policies apply dynamic hedging to mitigate risks related to guarantees embedded in such policies. A typical industry practice consists in using fund mapping regressions to represent basis risk stemming from the imperfect correlation between the underlying fund...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922821
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Variable annuities are insurance products that contain guarantees and using the Monte Carlo method to calculate the fair market values of these guarantees for a large portfolio of such products is extremely time consuming. In this paper, we propose the class of GB2 distributions to model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987080
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There are many alternative approaches to selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality. The standard practice is to produce forecasts using a single model such as the Lee-Carter, the Cairns-Blake-Dowd, or the Age- Period-Cohort model, with model selection based on in-sample goodness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234413
How should we compare welfare across pension systems in presence of differential mortality? A commonly used standard utilitarian criterion implicitly favors the long-lived over the short-lived. We investigate under what conditions this ranking is reversed. We clearly distinguish between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353329
from the classical world of generalized linear models, generalized additive models and credibility theory. These methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625588