Showing 1 - 10 of 7,998
Considering the inferior volatility tracking capability of the point-data-based models, we propose using the more … informative price interval data and building interval regression models for volatility forecasting. To characterize the … heterogeneity of the market and the nonlinearity of volatility, we incorporated the heterogeneous autoregressive structure and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326796
This paper considers estimation and inference for varying-coefficient models with nonstationary regressors. We propose … a nonparametric estimation method using penalized splines, which achieves the same optimal convergence rate as kernel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767261
This note presents a nonparametric Bayesian approach to fitting a distribution to the survey data provided in Kilian and Zha (2002) regarding the prior for the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP). A point mass at infinity is included. The unknown density is represented as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403123
Robust estimation techniques based on symmetric probability distributions are often substituted for OLS to obtain … paper show that with skewed distributed data, symmetric robust estimation techniques produce biased regression intercepts … with symmetric robust estimation techniques produce biased alphas. The results support the recommendation that robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004467
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
conventional estimation methods. In this study, the new method outperforms its unsmoothed competitors with respect to the variance …-range dependencies are present only in the intraday volatility but not in the intraday returns. Finally, the robustness of these findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312096
, an estimation of volatility in the DAX is provided. Such estimation is then plugged into a quantile regression model …This paper addresses stock market volatility in Germany between 1991 and 2018. Through a GARCH model with leverage term … where potential economic determinants are analyzed. The results suggest that stock market volatility in Germany reached its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629944
In this paper, we develop a novel high-dimensional time-varying coefficient estimation method, based on high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014265442
We consider a nonparametric time series regression model. Our framework allows precise estimation of betas without the … individual stocks. We provide an inference framework for all components of the model, including idiosyncratic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894411