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We introduce a structural quantile vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Unlike standard VAR which models only the average interaction of the endogenous variables, quantile VAR models their interaction at any quantile. We show how to estimate and forecast multivariate quantiles within a recursive...
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We construct risks around consensus forecasts of real GDP growth, unemployment, and inflation. We find that risks are time-varying, asymmetric, and partly predictable. Tight financial conditions forecast downside growth risk, upside unemployment risk, and increased uncertainty around the...
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countries, and India is now one of the worst-affected country in the world. Researchers all around the world are racing to come …. However, in India the recovery rate has been far better than in other countries, and is steadily improving. Still in such a … India for the empirical analysis. …
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