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of future stock, or any other asset, returns from European call and put prices. Instead of options prices used by …
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Investors are becoming more sensitive about returns and losses, especially when the investments are exposed to downside risk potential in the financial markets. Despite the computational intensity of the downside risk measures, they are very widely applied to construct a portfolio and evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462061
This paper examines point and density forecasts from the European Central Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters. We derive individual uncertainty measures along with individual point- and density-based measures of disagreement. We also explore the relationship between uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122745
To avert the impending global Cyber-Finance Insurance Crisis based upon large-scale commercial reliance upon quantitative models with inherent model risks, tail risks, and systemic risks in current form, this post-doctoral thesis makes the following key contributions: Develops the first known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972233
The paper is an empirical research work wherein the principle of Modern Portfolio Theory along with aspects of geographical diversification have been subjected to test. The validation of the said theory has been made via hypothesis testing in light of the financial market data. The paper has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102156
This paper examines point and density forecasts from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters. We derive individual uncertainty measures along with individual point- and density-based measures of disagreement. We also explore the relationship between uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604042
This paper looks to see if departures from risk neutrality cause subjects to behave differently in randomly terminated supergames compared to infinitely discounted supergames. I show that if subjects have a strictly monotonic utility function, and that utility function is applied to their entire...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901787