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In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761866
stabilization policy is pronounced. The wealth rich or retired tend to favor inflation targeting. The wealth-poor working class …, instead, favors unemployment-centric policy. One- and two-agent alternatives can show unanimous disapproval of inflation …-centric policy, instead. We highlight how the political support for inflation-centric policy depends on wage setting, the tax system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511775
more weight on alternative indicators of inflation pressure such as wage settlements, trends in unit labour costs and a … wide range of indicators of inflation expectations. The recent fall in margins observed in some countries may, for instance … States, the large unemployment gap could also keep wage inflation under pressure despite a flattening Phillips curve. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690945
We estimate the effects of economic uncertainty on time use and discuss its macroeconomic implications. Using data from the American Time Use Survey, we first infer cyclical variation in home production and leisure time. We then document that higher uncertainty increases housework and reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287049
constant money growth or zero inflation policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013140045
Using a unique German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857682
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common component plays an important role in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
stronger upward nominal pricing bias in recessions than in expansions, because recessions imply higher inflation volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628705
This paper studies how non-rational risk shocks affect the macroeconomy. Exploiting survey data on expectations of financial executives, belief distortions on financial markets identify a non-rational risk shock. Surprises in beliefs in credit spreads measure belief distortions, and are used as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308197