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Autoregressive (SVAR) methodology is applied incorporating realized volatility as an indicator of oil price uncertainty to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023148
- specifically, volatility clustering effectively captured by a GARCH model - this approach achieves global identification of shocks … while allowing for volatility spillovers across them. Findings reveal that increased variance in aggregate demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015143999
This paper examines the propagation of oil price uncertainty shocks to real equity prices using a large-scale Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model of 26 advanced and emerging stock markets. The GVAR framework allows us to capture the transmission of local and global shocks, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380496
In the present study, we examine the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty using monthly Consumer Price Index for Tunisian, Turkish and Egypt covering the period 1990:M1-2014:M12. We adopt a multivariate asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation EGARCH framework. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015304
. A state-dependent volatility spillover GARCH hedging strategy is developed to capture the regime switching global equity … volatility spillover effect. Empirical results show that the NFNE futures exhibit superior effectiveness as an instrument for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883272
currency hedge in the presence of non-constant volatility and correlation. It is shown that implementation of the dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994157
We propose a copula-based periodic mixed frequency GAS framework in order to model and forecast the intraday Exposure Conditional Value at Risk (ECoVaR) for an intraday asset return and the corresponding market return. In particular we analyze GAS models which account for long-memory-type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352170
is based on a linear, parametric relationship between expected returns and conditional volatility. This paper models the …-realized variance. We find strong robust evidence of volatility feedback in monthly data. Once volatility feedback is accounted for … relationship is nonlinear. Volatility feedback impacts the whole distribution and not just the conditional mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026110
We employ a time-varying parameter VAR to examine the dynamic effect of uncertainty shocks on unemployment during different recessions. We find that the impact of uncertainty shocks during the Great Recession is significantly larger compared to previous recessions. Empirical studies should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894364
uncertainty is proxied by the (unobserved) volatility of the structural shocks, and a regime change occurs whenever credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472852