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Developments in the world of finance have led the authors to assess the adequacy of using the normal distribution assumptions alone in measuring risk. Cushioning against risk has always created a plethora of complexities and challenges; hence, this paper attempts to analyse statistical...
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In financial decisions, model risk has been recognized as an important source of uncertainty. The revision of the Basel II suggests that financial institutions quantify and manage their model risk. Focusing on risk forecasting literature, we identify two main approaches to quantify model risk:...
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This paper studies the impact of modelling time-varying variances of stock returns in terms of risk measurement and extreme risk spillover. Using a general class of regime-dependent models, we find that volatility can be disaggregated into distinct components: a persistent stable process with...
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The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether a dynamic Value at Risk model and high frequency realized volatility models can improve the accuracy of 1-day ahead VaR forecasting beyond the performance of frequently used models. As such, this paper constructs 60 conditional volatility...
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