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We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
In this study, we investigate the attenuation of idiosyncratic risk and corresponding benefits of diversification for equally weighted and market capitalization weighted portfolios in the UK Equity Market over 2002 - 2012. We analyze the absolute benefits of risk reduction by testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100687
We use economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks in combination with the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) approach to investigate long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. The US long-run stock market variance depends significantly on US EPU shocks but not on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899727
This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our international volatility risk proxies. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972144
In this paper, we examine the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and future returns around the firm-specific news announcements in the Chinese stock market following. The results show that the pricing of non-news idiosyncratic volatility is more strongly negative compared to news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500235
This study examines the effects of geopolitical risk (GPR) shocks on stock market returns and volatility across G7, BRICS, and Gulf countries, using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model. By analyzing responses over short, medium, and long-term horizons, our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015339100
Modelling of conditional volatilities and correlations across asset returns is an integral part of portfolio decision making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations across markets, a trend which has been accentuated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
Modelling of conditional volatilities and correlations across asset returns is an integral part of portfolio decision making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations across markets, a trend which has been accentuated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
In this paper we show that the long-run stock and bond volatility and the long-run stock-bond correlation depend on macroeconomic uncertainty. We use the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) econometric approach. The findings are in accordance with the flight-to-quality phenomenon when macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025703
I find that the index of geopolitical risk (GPR) is significantly associated with both the extensive and intensive margins of stock market participation decisions. The GPR index subsumes the significance of economic policy uncertainty for stock market participation decisions and has long-lasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403880