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Several common properties shared by cryptocurrencies and precious metals, such as safe haven, hedge and diversification for risk assets, have been wildly discussed since the day Bitcoin was created in 2008. However, no studies have explored whether cryptocurrency market uncertainties can help to...
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We develop and make available a new Cryptocurrency Uncertainty Index (UCRY) based on news coverage. Our UCRY Index captures two types of the uncertainty: cryptocurrency price uncertainty (UCRY Price) and cryptocurrency policy uncertainty (UCRY Policy). We show that the constructed index has...
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This study analyses the prediction power of uncertainty measures, especially the cryptocurrency uncertainty indices on the long-term volatility of the gold markets. By utilising a mixed data sampling model, GARCH-MIDAS, we show that various uncertainty measures may capture different types of...
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Using Growth at Risk as a measure of downside growth risk, the authors find that higher perceived levels of downside growth risk seem to be negatively associated with long-term growth. Output collapses and crises are a fact of life. Severe economic downturns occur periodically and have grave...
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