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We propose a New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model where a risk aversion shock enters a separable utility function. We analyze five periods from 1971 through 2011, each lasting for twenty years, to follow over time the dynamics of several parameters such as the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905025
We develop a novel method to dynamically hedge foreign exchange exposure in international equity and bond portfolios. The method exploits the time-series predictability of currency returns, which we show emerges from exploiting a forecastable component in global factor returns. The hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897848
This paper shows that under absence of arbitrage opportunities the exchange rate reacts to restore equilibrium in international bond markets. The key factors determining its value are the difference between realized and implicit interest rate differentials, the underlying risk premium in bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131584
currency bias. The investor's dislike for model uncertainty induces a disproportionately high currency hedging demand. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271218
We study what makes government bonds a safe asset. Building on a sample of monthly changes in government bond yields in 40 advanced and emerging countries, we analyse the sensitivity of yields to country specific fundamentals interacted with changes in global risk (VIX). We find that inertia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138612
Firstly, we show that domestic prices of net importer countries incorporate a risk premium, driven by higher moments of future nominal exchange rate returns and secondly, using US dollar exchange rates against three currencies of major net exporting countries to the US such as Canada, Japan and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230006
We derive the optimal exchange rate policy for a small open economy subject to terms-of-trade shocks. Firm owners and workers are risk averse but workers more so. Wages are given or partially indexed in the short run, and capital markets are imperfect. The government sets the exchange rate to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318822
Technology choice allows for substitution of production across states of nature and depends on state dependent risk aversion. In equilibrium, endogenous technology choice can counter a persistent negative productivity shock with an increase in investment. An increase in risk aversion intensifies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905515
We derive the optimal exchange rate policy for a small open economy subject to terms-oftrade shocks. Firm owners and workers are risk averse but workers more so. Wages are given or partially indexed in the short run, and capital markets are imperfect. The government sets the exchange rate to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261106
Given that a multinational enterprise can react flexibly upon exchange rate movements, international trade flows may be interpreted as an option. An enterprise will opt to export if the profits obtained from exporting under given exchange rate developments are greater than if foreign subsidiary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300614