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We use historical data on investment returns and labour income from sixteen countries to quantify the value and risk of defined contribution pension plans, building frequency distributions of pension fund and pension replacement ratios for each country. We show that pension risk is substantial,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177170
Uncertainty is generally avoided when investing. Volatility is a popular proxy for investment uncertainty, and indeed … uncertainty, among which are entropy and the Hurst exponent. Here we show that these measures also predict groups of stocks that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025017
Companies have overlapping exposures to many different features that might plausibly affect their returns, like whether they're involved in a crowded trade, whether they're mentioned in an M&A rumor, or whether their supplier recently missed an earnings forecast. Yet, at any point in time, only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032176
One of the fundamental requirements of investment management is the ability to assess risk and to adjust exposure to control tail risk, the risk of larger than acceptable losses. Since the onset of the recent credit crisis, the effects of widespread failure of standard techniques for tail risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038555
We revisit the role of liquidity risk. We successfully replicate Pastor and Stambaugh's (2003) gamma liquidity risk index and, within their time period, concur with their risk premium estimate. An out-of-their-time-period analysis finds post-time-period returns that are higher and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894394
This paper studies the tail risk of US equity markets in advance of the COVID-19 outbreak in February 2020, providing evidence that financial markets are informative about pandemic risk well in advance of the actual outbreak. Specifically, while the tail risk of the market index did not respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230154
Using data on historical returns on international financial assets, the paper simulates pension fund and pension replacement ratios, building up frequency distributions of these ratios for individuals saving in a defined contribution pension plan in different countries. These frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157468
The purpose of this research is try to create Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) alternative model at Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) that analyze the effect of the investment risk, trading activity and market multiple on stock return on low (IDR5 and IDR10), medium (IDR25), high (IDR50) and all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009540023
We present a new option-pricing model, which explicitly captures the difference in the persistence of volatility under historical and risk-neutral probabilities. The model also allows to capture the empirical properties of pricing kernels, such as time-variation and the typical S-shape. We apply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014461
We examine whether sensitivities to cash flow (CF) and discount rate (DR) risk in down markets provide an explanation for the investment effect, where low-investment stocks earn higher expected returns than high-investment stocks. We show how productivity and financing constraints asymmetrically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856300