The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BIS) has recently sanctioned Expected Shortfall (ES) as the market risk measure to be used for banking regulatory purposes, replacing the well-known Value-at-Risk (VaR). This change is motivated by the appealing theoretical properties of ES as a...

This article reviews some recent advances in testing for serial correlation, provides Stata code for implementation and illustrates its application to market risk forecast evaluation. The classical and widely used Portamenteau tests and their data-driven versions are the focus of this article....

Traditional measures of dependence in time series are typically based on correlations or periodograms. These are adequate in many circumstances but, in others, especially when trying to assess market linkages (e.g., financial contagion), might be inappropriate. In the present paper we propose...

Backtesting methods are statistical tests designed to uncover excessive risk-taking from financial institutions. We show in this paper that these methods are subject to the presence of model risk produced by a wrong specification of the conditional VaR model, and derive its effect on the...