We use BERT, an AI-based algorithm for language understanding, to decipher regulatory climate-risk disclosures and measure their impact on the credit default swap (CDS) market. Risk disclosures can either increase or decrease credit spreads, depending on whether disclosure reveals new risks or...

This paper shows that the VIX market contains information that is not already contained by the S&P 500 market on the variance of the S&P 500 returns. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. We find that including...

We jointly explain the variations of the equity and value premium in a model with both short-run (SRR) and long-run (LRR) consumption risk. In our preliminary empirical analysis, we find that SRR varies with the business cycle and it has a substantial predictive power for market excess returns...