We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on U.S. equity premium forecastability and illustrate key issues via an empirical application based on updated data. Some studies...

While economic variables have been used extensively to forecast bond risk premia, little attention has been paid to technical indicators which are widely used by practitioners. In this paper, we study the predictive ability of a variety of technical indicators vis-a-vis the economic variables....

In this paper, we provide the asymptotic theory for the widely used Fama and MacBeth (1973) two-pass regression in the usual case of a large number of assets. We find that the convergence of the OLS two-pass estimator depends critically on the time series sample size in addition to the number of...