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for economic analysis. This paper demonstrates how a VAR model with long run restrictions justified by economic theory can …
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forecast mortality rates in multiple populations. This model incorporates the merits of existing models in that it excludes … applications to the age-and sex-specific mortality rates in Switzerland and the Czech Republic. The point forecast errors of … model provides improved forecast accuracy in most cases. …
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This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available Matlab program for estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. This program replaces an earlier Matlab program by Nielsen and Morin (2014), and although the present Matlab...
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Long-run restrictions have been used extensively for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. Such restrictions are typically justidentifying but can be checked by utilizing changes in volatility. This paper reviews and contrasts the volatility models that have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878239
We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between euro area monetary policy and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also use (conditional)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810177
We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between monetary policy in the euro area and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation, we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887655