We hypothesize that results of football (soccer) teams affect the risk perception of people. People choose riskier investments after a win and less risky investments after a loss; this leads to higher (lower) returns in the stock market. These hypotheses are tested for the international matches...

We investigate the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation from January 1982 through March 2016 for Turkey by using the Stochastic Volatility in Mean model with time-varying parameters. Our empirical evidence from consumer price index (CPI) inflation suggests that the observed positive...

This paper examines how determinants of volatility and stock returns change with financial crisis. The contributions of the paper are twofold. First, using a GARCH-M framework, risk and return are jointly modeled by using macroeconomic variables both in the variance and the mean equations. The...

The positive relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty is well supported by empirical evidence in the literature. However, this does not answer the question of whether the inflation causes the inflation uncertainty and vice versa or both in the Granger sense. The empirical...

This study examines the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G-7 countries for the period from 1957 to 2001. The causality between the inflation and inflation uncertainty is tested by using the Full Information Maximum Likelihood Method with extended lags. Our results...

This study finds that uncertainties in interest rates, commodity prices and money aggregate affect economic outcomes for Germany. Both interest rate and monetary policy uncertainty measures are positively correlated with interest rates, while commodity price uncertainty is negatively correlated...