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In a seminal contribution, Campbell (1996) [Campbell, J., 1996, Understanding Risk and Return, Journal of Political Economy 104(2), 298-345] proposed a methodology based on a VAR(1) process to test Merton's Intertemporal CAPM. Innovations in predictors of portfolio returns are estimated and used...
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Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
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Under the Basel II regulatory framework non-negligible statistical problems arise when backtesting risk measures. In this setting backtests often become infeasible due to a low number of violations leading to heavy size distortions. According to Escanciano and Olmo (2010, 2011) these problems...
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