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This chapter puts forward a manual for how to setup and solve a continuous time model that allows to analyze endogenous (1) level and risk dynamics. The latter includes (2) tail risk and crisis probability as well as (3) the Volatility Paradox. Concepts such as (4) illiquidity and liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024265
We study the macroeconomic consequences of financial market concentration in a complete markets economy with production. We propose a theory in which differences in preferences, productivity, and risk exposure generate gains from trade, but these gains are not fully realized because some large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850362
We analyze a rating agency's incentives to distort ratings in a model with a monopolistic profit maximizing rating agency, a continuum of heterogeneous firms, and a competitive market of risk-neutral investors. Firms sell bonds, the value of a firm's bond is known to the firm and observable by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345759
This paper brings experimental evidence on investors' behavior subject to an "illiquidity" constraint, where the success of a risky project depends on the participation of a minimum number of investors. The experiment is set up as a frameless coordination game that replicates the investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077574
When formal insurance is unavailable, mutual insurance among households can serve as an alternative. This paper analyzes a game between economic agents facing uncertainty and maximizing discounted utility without enforceable contracts or access to capital markets. While autarky is always a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015084073
We study how monetary policy and risk shocks affect asset prices in the US, the euro area, and Japan, differentiating between "traditional" monetary policy and communication events, each decomposed into "pure" and information shocks. Communication shocks from the US spill over to risk in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543667
This paper offers a theory of development which links the degree of market incompleteness to capital accumulation and growth. At early stages of development, the presence of indivisible projects limits the degree of risk-spreading (diversification) that the economy can achieve. The desire to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124312
This paper studies the effects of borrowers' balance sheet heterogeneity on economywide risks and fragility, together with effects from intermediary balance sheet channel. We build a continuous time heterogeneous agents model with financial frictions and analytically characterize the transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250142
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility (“uncertainty”), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039100
We develop a general equilibrium model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking economic uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. The mutual learning between financial markets and the real economy creates a strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902208