Close-to-zero interest rates challenge standard economic models in which zero lower bound (ZLB) is absent. We estimate a recursive utility model which features time-varying latent expected real growth, expected inflation, and stochastic inflation volatility. Using an approximate solution to bond...

We study a long-run risk model with a stochastic consumption growth rate, a stochastic volatility, a stochastic jump intensity, and a stochastic mean reversion level for the latter two processes. First, using a square-root specification instead of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process suggested by...

We generalize and extend the long-run risk model by Drechsler and Yaron (201'7 by separating the processes for the jump intensity and the stochastic conditional variance. Furthermore we replace their Ornstein-Uhlenbeck specification for the long-run mean of the conditional variance by a...

We analyze the equilibrium in a two-tree (sector) economy with two regimes. The output of each tree is driven by a jump-diffusion process, and a downward jump in one sector of the economy can (but need not) trigger a shift to a regime where the likelihood of future jumps is generally higher....