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This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the introduction of the Euro in 1999 are then examined...
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We use a panel of ten euro area member states to examine the link between macro/fiscal risk and private bank deposits relative to Germany. Our main findings are summarised as follows: First, the relationship between relative deposits and macro/fiscal risk factors is not stable over time. Second,...
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We analyse the relationships between return calculation methods, risk and observation periods. We show that the mean of a return set calculated using logarithmic returns is less than the mean calculated using simple returns by an amount related to the variance of the set. This implies that there...
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