Conventional measures of risk in earnings based on historical standard deviation require long time series data and are inadequate when the distribution of earnings deviates from normality. We introduce a methodology based on current fundamentals and quantile regression to forecast risk reflected...

We offer evidence that the tendency of high real-investment stocks to underperform others is driven by firms physically constructing new capacity. The conditioning ability of construction work does not come from differences in investment intensity, financing sources, or profitability. Yet, it...

We offer evidence that exposures to consumption growth, expected consumption growth, and consumption volatility are significantly priced in the cross-section of delta-hedged option and straddle returns. Consumption growth and expected consumption growth command a positive risk premium, whereas...

We study whether industrial firms risk-shift in response to distress risk increases induced through hurricane strikes. Using new proxies capturing deliberate managerial decisions about the risk of a firm's operating segment portfolio, differences tests suggest that hurricane strikes prompt...

The rationale for conservatively expensing R&D investments under U.S. GAAP largely relies on the uncertainty of the R&D-related future benefits. We examine the temporal dimension of uncertainty reflecting the time distance between R&D expenditures and the realization of future benefits. We...