We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...

To analyze the economic significance of pricing errors of stock index options, a system of linear inequalities is developed which completely characterizes all risk arbitrage opportunities which arise if a well-behaved pricing kernel does not exist. The Stochastic Arbitrage system can account for...

An optimization method is developed for constructing investment portfolios which stochastically dominate a given benchmark for all decreasing absolute risk-averse investors, using Quadratic Programming. The method is applied to standard data sets of historical returns of equity price reversal...