Showing 1 - 10 of 2,912
proposed a very general axiomatisation of preferences in the presence of ambiguity, viz. Monotonic Bernoullian Archimedean (MBA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187944
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366542
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain either optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101422
Recent theoretical developments in economics distinguish between risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Using … state-of-the-art methods with intraday stock market data from February 1993 to February 2021, we derive financial ambiguity … ambiguity carries important information about future oil returns and volatility perceived by investors. We validate these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361650
This paper aims to connect the social network literature on centrality measures with the economic literature on von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility functions using cooperative game theory. The social network literature studies various concepts of network centrality, such as degree,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014369587
inapplicable to ambiguity aversion. Third, when unobserved probability distributions are constrained by partially revealed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113294
This paper focuses on decisions under ambiguity. Participants in a laboratory experiment made decisions in three … three. We show that groups are more likely to make ambiguity-neutral decisions than individuals, and that individuals make … more ambiguity-neutral decisions after discussing the decisions with others. This shift toward higher ambiguity neutrality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010776756
only possible if all discounted net trades of the equilibrium allocation are mean ambiguity-free. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411561
-Debreu equilibria only if the values of net trades are ambiguity-free in the mean. Without aggregate uncertainty, inefficiencies arise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477416