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This paper develops an approach to measure the uncertainty surrounding expected GDP growth that prevails in the economy …. This is accomplished by making use of consensus forecasts of GDP growth and by studying the properties of distributions of … forecasted euro area GDP growth. A euro area distribution is constructed from the mean distributions of individual country …
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We consider an empirical estimation of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for carbon dioxide and sulphur, with a focus on confidence set estimation of the tipping point. Various econometric – parametric and nonparametric – methods are considered, reflecting the implications of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014041945
The article is devoted to estimating the uncertainty parameters of Russian GDP on history, that arises as a result of … parameters to filter true GDP values, as well as the ability to refine forecast uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356151
to forecast GDP growth of the six largest member countries is developed, using quantile regressions to construct a … probability distribution of future GDP, as opposed to mean point forecasts. This approach allows uncertainty to be assessed …
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environmental risks. In the study, the long-term effect of Ukraine's GDP and GPR Index on Ukrainian tourism was investigated for the … period 1995-2019. The ARDL Boundary Test is used in the analysis to explore the long-term impact of Ukraine's GDP and GPR on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334905