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account impacts from oil price return and oil price volatility on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression …
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the panel, individual densities are used to estimate aggregate forecast uncertainty. During periods of regime change and …
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risks. With a slight reformulation of the loss function and a standard factor decomposition of a panel of forecasts, we show …
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standard factor decomposition of a panel of forecasts, we show that the uncertainty of a typical forecaster can be expressed as …
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