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This paper examines whether risk-taking in a lottery depends on the opportunity to respond to the lottery outcome …/or extra labor effort. We find strong evidence that ex-post access to labor opportunities reduces ex-ante risk willingness … while access to tax evasion has no effect on risk behavior. We discuss possible explanations for this result based on the …
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This paper evaluates the effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks on a set of lowfrequency macroeconomic variables that are representative of the U.S. economy. Rather than estimating models at the same common low-frequency, we use recently developed econometric models, which allows us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476374
financial executives, belief distortions on financial markets identify a non-rational risk shock. Surprises in beliefs in credit … the constructed shocks have statistically and economically meaningful effects. A positive non-rational risk shock moves …This paper studies how non-rational risk shocks affect the macroeconomy. Exploiting survey data on expectations of …
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We discover sentiment-driven equilibria in popular models of imperfect risk sharing. In these equilibria, sentiment …-price declines; (ii) assetprice booms, with below-average risk premia, predict busts and financial crises. Methodologically, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015329687
endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294890