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Firstly, we show that domestic prices of net importer countries incorporate a risk premium, driven by higher moments of future nominal exchange rate returns and secondly, using US dollar exchange rates against three currencies of major net exporting countries to the US such as Canada, Japan and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230006
The paper analyzes the consumption-real exchange rate anomaly in a multi-country model with complete markets under various preference specifications: (i) standard time-additive preferences; (ii) recursive preferences of Epstein and Zin; and (iii) habit formation preferences of Campbell and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848012
In this paper, we analyse the relationship between the currency carry return and volatility and liquidity risk factors … outperformance for volatility ones especially the global FX volatility risk factor. Consistent with the poor performance of currency … carry trades during high FX volatility regime, we also show that the well-established negative slope coefficient in the Fama …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989965
This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … uncertainty by making inference on the models and their parameters - a mechanism I call model learning. I show how model learning … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937806
We decompose the correlation between relative consumption and the real exchange rate into its dynamic components at different frequencies. Using multivariate spectral analysis techniques we show that, at odds with a high degree of risk-sharing, in most OECD countries the dynamic correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110295
increases strengthen these currencies to different extents. In contrast, heightened geopolitical uncertainty and associated oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214320
emphasize the significance of managing exchange rate volatility and reducing uncertainty to ensure economic stability and foster … uncertainty in the specific context of South Africa. By specifically focusing on exchange rate misalignment uncertainty, this … uncertainty and economic growth, there is a dearth of studies focusing on the particular issue of exchange rate misalignment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501136
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