We construct and estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that features demand- and supply-side uncertainty. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle fluctuations. Both demand-side and supply-side...

We estimate a production‐based general equilibrium model featuring demand‐ and supply‐side uncertainty and an endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle fluctuations. Both demand‐ and...

This paper estimates a business cycle model with endogenous financial asset supply and ambiguity averse investors. Firms' shareholders choose not only production and investment, but also capital structure and payout policy subject to financial frictions. An increase in uncertainty about profits...

At low frequencies, we document that size and value premia exhibit strong positive co-movement, but are both negatively related to the equity premium. These patterns are explained in an investment-based asset pricing model featuring persistent micro and macro uncertainty. Micro uncertainty...

The dramatic stock market crash of March 2020 was preceded by a prolonged rise in Tobin's Q and a productivity slowdown. Do longer stock market booms and sharper corrections reflect structural changes in the US economy? We address this question about Q by estimating an endogenous growth model...