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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003732558
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001535778
Reliable early warning signals are essential for timely implementation of macroeconomic and macro-prudential policies. This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial (systemic) risks. Forecasts are obtained from: (a)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024363
This study is an empirical investigation of theoretical predictions concerning the impact of bank competition on bank risk and asset allocations. Recent work (Boyd, De Nicolò and Jalal, 2009, BDNJ henceforth) predicts that as competition in banking increases, the loan-to-asset ratio will rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137391
This paper presents new measures of market power rents in loan and deposit markets and examines their impact on bank risk-taking. These new measures are derived from optimality conditions common to a wide variety of theoretical models of banks operating under uncertainty and choosing their risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141144
This paper presents a modeling framework that delivers joint forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk, as well as stress-tests of these indicators as impulse responses to structural shocks identified by standard macroeconomic and banking theory. This framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147678
We study a banking model in which banks invest in a riskless asset and compete in both deposit and risky loan markets. The model predicts that as competition increases, both loans and assets increase; however, the effect on the loans-to-assets ratio is ambiguous. Similarly, as competition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157566
This paper presents a modeling framework that delivers joint forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk, as well as stress-tests of these indicators as impulse responses to structural shocks identified by standard macroeconomic and banking theory. This framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125917
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008651145
Reliable early warning signals are essential for timely implementation of macroeconomic and macro-prudential policies. This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial (systemic) risks. Forecasts are obtained from: (a)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498601