Estimation errors in the inputs are the main problem when applying portfolio analysis, and Markov regime switching models have been shown to reduce these errors. We investigate whether the use of two regime models remains superior across a range of values of risk aversion and transaction costs,...

We examine the association of the Bitcoin price crash risk with economic uncertainty and behavioral factors. We show that economic uncertainty displays a negative and significant association with Bitcoin price crash risk, indicating that when economic uncertainty is high, the crash risk of...

This paper contributes to the literature on cryptocurrencies, portfolio management and estimation risk by comparing the performance of naïve diversification, Markowitz diversification and the advanced Black-Litterman model with VBCs that controls for estimation errors in a portfolio of...

We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term structure model of commodity futures. Our theory-based CDP, capturing forward-looking information in the futures markets, outperforms well-known characteristics in explaining the...