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We study risk-minimization for a large class of insurance contracts. Given that the individual progress in time of visiting an insurance policy's states follows an F-doubly stochastic Markov chain, we describe different state-dependent types of insurance benefits. These cover single payments at...
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We focus on model risk and risk sensitivity when addressing the insurability of cyber risk. The standard statistical approaches to assessment of insurability and potential mispricing are enhanced in several aspects involving consideration of model risk. Model risk can arise from model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362451
An ageing population is a major challenge for every country in the world arising from the declining fertility rate and increasing life expectancy. A longevity risk (the adverse outcome of people living longer than expected) exacerbated by declining equity returns coupled with the record low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011953877
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
In this study an exploration of insurance risk transfer is undertaken for the cyber insurance industry in the United States of America, based on the leading industry dataset of cyber events provided by Advisen. We seek to address two core unresolved questions. First, what factors are the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322184
We quantify model risk of a financial portfolio whereby a multi-period meanstandard-deviation criterion is used as a selection criterion. In this work, model risk is defined as the loss due to uncertainty of the underlying distribution of the returns of the assets in the portfolio. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929777
Supplementary material available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3312707" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3312707We develop extensions that introduce regression structure to the multi-factor stochastic models of commodity futures price term structure dynamics. We demonstrate the accuracy with which...
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