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This paper analyses the pricing of systematic risk factors in credit default swap contracts in a two-stage empirical framework. In the first pass, we estimate contract-specific sensitivities to several systematic risk factors by time-series regressions using quoted credit default swap (CDS)...
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The global financial crisis has shown that many financial institutions dealing with credit derivatives were exposed to severe unexpected losses. This indicates that systematic influences are decisively underestimated particularly with regard to structured products like securitized tranches of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034808
The Global Financial Crisis exposed financial institutions to severe unexpected losses in relation to mortgage securitizations and derivatives. This paper analyzes a unique and extensive ratings and impairment events database for securitizations. The paper finds that risk models such as ratings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034810
In the recent literature, methods from extreme value theory (EVT) have frequently been applied for the estimation of tail risk measures. While previous analyses show that EVT methods often lead to accurate estimates for risk measures, a potential drawback lies in high standard errors of point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927144
The following article develops a simultaneous multi-factor model for defaults and recoveries. Applying this model, risk parameters can be forecast using systematic and idiosyncratic risk fac-tors and their implied correlations. The theoretical framework is accompanied by an empirical analysis in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073451
This paper provides evidence for the relationship between credit quality, recovery rate, and correlation. The paper finds that rating grade, rating shift, and macroeconomic factors provide a highly significant explanation for default risk and recovery risk of US bond issues. The empirical data...
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