This paper tests the validity of a single-factor (market) model to price consumer lending risk. It classifies US counties into 25 portfolios based on unemployment and nominal income growth. The results, using serious delinquency on revolving credit as default risk, show that the intercepts are...

The modern credit market is actively changing under the influence of digitalization processes. Some of the drivers of these changes are financial companies that carry out, among other things, online lending. Online lending is objectively focused on short-term small loans, both payday loans (PDL)...

This paper studies economies with complete markets where there is positive default on consumer debt. In a simple tractable two-period model, households can default partially, at a finite punishment cost, and competitive intermediaries price loans of different sizes separately. This environment...

The topics of Economic Capital modelling, reverse stress testing and credit limits are inextricably intertwined as they all focus on exceptional loss events. In this paper, we use the KVA framework in to frame these three topics within a single unified approach. We propose setting credit limits...

This paper studies the default anomaly that has been documented in the literature. We show that after controlling for the default-risk premium the default anomaly disappears. In contrast, controlling for credit spreads does not fully eliminate the anomaly. We also relate our results to the IVOL...

Using a news-based index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), we find that EPU is positively associated with credit default swap (CDS) spreads and negatively associated with the number of liquidity providers in the CDS market. A 10% increase in EPU leads to an 8.4% increase in CDS spreads and a...

Covered bonds and senior bonds are important securities for fixed income investors. Senior bonds are unsecured, while covered bonds are secured and backed by collateral. Our results show that collateral reduces the total risk in individual bonds by more than 70%. Compared to diversified...