This paper analyzes the impact of US firms’ equity risk on bank lending standards and on the macroeconomy for two groups: small and medium-large firms. The results indicate that a higher level of firm risk leads to a higher percentage of banks tightening their lending standards on commercial...

Climate risk refers to the risks associated with climate change and has already started to impact various sectors of the economy. In this work, we focus on the impact of physical risk on the probability of default for a firm in the agribusiness sector. The probability of default is estimated...

Based on a novel high-frequency data set for a large number of firms, I estimate the time-varying latent continuous and jump factors that explain individual stock returns. The factors are estimated using principal component analysis applied to a local volatility and jump covariance matrix. I...

We propose a heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with time-varying parameters in the form of a local linear random forest. In contrast to conventional random forests that approximate the volatility nonparametrically using local averaging, the building blocks of our forest are HAR panel...

We study the predictability of cross-sectional uncertainty (CSU) proposed by Dew-Becker and Giglio (2021) for stock returns. We find that CSU exhibits significant power for predicting monthly stock returns with annual out-of-sample R^2 of 6.34%, greater than popular predictors. CSU generates...

The paper examines the tail behaviour in financial returns in the Indian debt market.Focussing on the Government securitries Market in India, the study examines whether the behaviour of the tail in the distribution of financial returns exhibit departures from Guaussian assumptions , and if so,...

A financial market can be expressed in a network structure where the stocks resides as nodes and the links account for returns correlation. Centrality measure in the financial network structure captures firms' embeddedness and connectivity in the capital market structure. This paper investigates...