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In the present study, we examine the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty using monthly Consumer Price Index for Tunisian, Turkish and Egypt covering the period 1990:M1-2014:M12. We adopt a multivariate asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation EGARCH framework. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015304
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considered and fast random sampling is of importance. To illustrate our methodology, we fit copula GARCH models with g …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138164
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of financial returns and portfolio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasts that exploits the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084434
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of financial returns and port-folio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasts that exploits the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723920
couple the variables with the latent factor. We use adaptive rejection Metropolis sampling (ARMS) within Gibbs sampling for … posterior simulation: Gibbs sampling enables application to Bayesian problems, while ARMS is an adaptive strategy that replaces … of our proposed approach both in terms of sampling efficiency and accuracy. We provide an extensive application example …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654443
While environmental, social, and governance (ESG) trading activity has been a distinctive feature of financial markets, the debate if ESG scores can also convey information regarding a company's riskiness remains open. Regulatory authorities, such as the European Banking Authority (EBA), have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227435
Copulas have become an important tool in the modern best practice Enterprise Risk Management, often supplanting other approaches to modelling stochastic dependence. However, choosing the 'right' copula is not an easy task, and the temptation to prefer a tractable rather than a meaningful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981920
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