The value of a seasonal forecasting system based on phases of the Southern Oscillation was estimated for a representative dryland wheat grower in the vicinity of Goondiwindi. In particular the effects on this estimate of risk attitude and planting conditions were examined. A recursive stochastic...

In this paper a description is provided of the development and use of a target-MOTAD model for use in consultative work with farmers who are under financial pressure. The analysis of downside risk and introduction of a trade-off between financial and business risks are key features of this model...

The value of a seasonal forecasting system based on phases of the Southern Oscillation was estimated for a representative dryland wheat grower in the vicinity of Goondiwindi. In particular the effects on this estimate of risk attitude and planting conditions were examined. A recursive stochastic...