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all symmetric equilibria of these voting games. Second, we show that ambiguity may drastically undermine McLennan's (1998 …) results on decision quality: unlike in the absence of ambiguity, the ex ante optimal symmetric strategy profile need not be an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487011
Recent theoretical developments in economics distinguish between risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Using … state-of-the-art methods with intraday stock market data from February 1993 to February 2021, we derive financial ambiguity … ambiguity carries important information about future oil returns and volatility perceived by investors. We validate these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361650
We introduce a weak rank dependent utility (RDU) model, with one extra parameter compared to the canonical expected utility (EUT) model, which makes many of the same predictions as cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The model extends a set of nonconvex preferences to its maximal inner convex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936192
We consider the allotment problems of homogeneous indivisible objects among agents with single-peaked and risk-averse von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility functions. We establish that the rule satisfies coalitional strategy-proofness, same-sideness, and strong symmetry if and only if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003490404
ambiguity averse relation. First, we define two notions of more ambiguous with respect to such a class. A more ambiguous (I) act … makes an ambiguity averse decision maker (DM) worse off but does not affect the welfare of an ambiguity neutral DM. A more … ambiguous (II) act adversely affects a more ambiguity averse DM more, as measured by the compensation they require to switch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694759
(KMM) interpret ambiguity aversion as aversion against second-order risks associated with ambiguous acts. We design an … experiments. It appears that the ambiguity premium is partially paid to avoid the ambiguity issue per se, which is distinct from … notions of second- order risk. This finding is robust even when there is only partial ambiguity, and is applicable to all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801484
We establish a class of fully nonlinear conditional expectations. Similarly to the usage of linear expectations when a probabilistic description of uncertainty is present, we observe analogue quantitative and qualitative properties. The type of nonlinearity captures the agents sentiments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477162
depart from the sure thing principle and model the phenomenon of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
We propose and axiomatically characterize a representation of ambiguity sensitive preferences. The distinguishing … maker exhibits a consistent tradeoff between risk and ambiguity concerns. Under our representation of her preferences, any … ambiguity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491097
uncertainty when the firm's preferences exhibit smooth ambiguity aversion. Ambiguity is modeled by a second-order probability … distribution that captures the firm's uncertainty about which of the subjective beliefs govern the exchange rate risk. Ambiguity … ambiguity has no impact on the firm's propensity to export to a foreign country. Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion, however, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521686