In the probabilistic risk aversion approach, risks are presumed as random variables with known probability distributions. However, in some practical cases, for example, due to the absence of historical data, the inherent uncertain characteristic of risks or different subject judgements from the...

Using detailed mutual fund holdings in the US market, we estimate active mutual fund managers’ loss aversion as a function of both funds’ past performance and asset allocations. We document a substantial variation in loss aversion over time. We further find managers' loss aversion is higher...

The notion of optimism or pessimism is defined in the psychology literature in terms of forecasting where the term is used more generally than in statistics. Here we use the theory of loss aversion combined with Bayesian forecasting to propose rather precise definitions of optimism and...