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This paper examines the effects of liquidity on the stock and portfolio risk measure by Value at Risk (VaR). Using daily stock returns and firm market capitalization, empirical calculation of VaR that confirmed not yet succeeded to prove pattern of relations between risk and liquidity both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125154
This paper shows how uncertainty about the type of return distribution (distribution uncertainty) can be incorporated in asset allocation decisions by using a novel, Bayesian semiparametric approach. To evaluate the economic importance of distribution uncertainty, the extent of changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126830
We derive the total variance risk premium for an index in the stochastic environment of Driessen, Maenhout and Vilkov (2009) and correct the previous authors omission of certain components which contribute significantly to index option expected returns. This study provides a mathematically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103853
We empirically investigate the importance of parameter uncertainty to bond investors. Using a Bayesian approach, we quantify the expected utility loss due to parameter uncertainty from following seemingly optimal dynamic portfolio strategies. Expected utility losses are increasing in the number...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109502
We investigate the effect of including variance derivatives as calibration and hedging instruments for pricing and hedging exotic structures. This is studied empirically using market data for SPX and VIX derivatives applied in a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113731
We test whether asymmetric preferences for losses versus gains affect the prices of cash flow versus discount rate risk. We construct a return decomposition distinguishing cash flow and discount rate betas in up and down markets. Using U.S. data we find that downside cash flow and discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094981
The covered bond market offers investors an alternative to developed country government securities. The valuation of covered bonds is complex. While there is some evidence of differences in the pricing of these bonds by nationality of issuer, these appear to be only weakly related to differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095068
This paper shows that exposure to aggregate distress risk is the underlying source of the premiums for the Fama-French size (SMB) and value (HML) factors. Using a unique dataset of aggregate business failures of both private and public firms from 1926 to 1997, I build portfolios that track news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151437
In this paper, based on Acharya and Pedersen's overlapping generation model, we show that liquidity risk could influence the market risk forecasting through at least two ways. Then we argue that traditional liquidity adjusted VaR measure, the simply adding of the two risk measure, would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156451
The main purpose of the paper is to define a model to estimate the liquidity risk for bonds, since very frequently their volatility price is lower than what appears after some shocks. The expected output will be generated comparing qualitative and quantitative methodologies, such as bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157076